Pokémon pull rates
Mega Evolution pull rates
Your odds of pulling each rarity, and what the cards in a Mega Evolution pack are worth on average, at today's prices.
- A pack is worth on average
- €2.59
- Its 10 cards together, at today's prices.
- A booster box of 36 packs is worth on average
- €93.36
- Its 360 cards together.
- But half of them return less than
- €74.17
- A few very expensive cards pull the average up.
Rates estimated by the community, checked on 4 November 2026 · today's Cardmarket prices
The odds per pack
One Mega Evolution pack holds 10 cards, one booster box 36 packs. The pack's two reverse holos are counted at their reverse holo price.
| Rarity | Per pack | Per booster box | One specific card | Average price | Value per pack |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Double Rare10 cards | 1 in 4.8 | ≈ 7.5 | 1 in 48 | €0.85 | €0.18 |
| Illustration Rare22 cards | 1 in 9.2 | ≈ 3.9 | 1 in 202 | €5.64 | €0.61 |
| Ultra Rare22 cards | 1 in 12 | ≈ 3 | 1 in 268 | €4.05 | €0.33 |
| Special Illustration Rare10 cards | 1 in 101 | 30% chance | 1 in 1,010 | €65.41 | €0.65 |
| Mega Hyper Rare2 cards | 1 in 1,260 | 3% chance | 1 in 2,520 | €167 | €0.13 |
“One specific card”: how many packs on average for a given card of this rarity. “Value per pack”: what the rarity adds to a pack's average value.
Virtual pack
Open one Mega Evolution pack
A virtual pack, drawn with the estimated rates and today's prices.
Just for fun: your real packs follow the same odds, but nothing guarantees a pull.
The cards worth chasing
The most expensive of each rarity, at today's market price.
Mega Hyper Rare
1 pack in 1,260, 2 cards, €167 on average. Only one or two cards in the sample: this rate is very uncertain.
Special Illustration Rare
1 pack in 101, 10 cards, €65.41 on average.
Ultra Rare
1 pack in 12, 22 cards, €4.05 on average.
Illustration Rare
1 pack in 9.2, 22 cards, €5.64 on average.
Double Rare
1 pack in 4.8, 10 cards, €0.85 on average.
Where these figures come from
These rates are estimates, not official figures: they come from large public openings counted by the community. A single box can stray far from them.
- TCGplayer : Mega Evolution Pull Rates · over 5,000 packs · 30 September 2025
- PokéZentrum : Pull Rates im Überblick · several counts combined · 20 October 2026
A pack's value: for each rarity, its chance per pack times the average price of its cards (each as likely as the others), plus the common cards. “But half of them return less than”: the median of 2,000 openings simulated with these rates. Prices: the European market price (Cardmarket) read every day, before selling fees.
Frequently asked questions
Is one Mega Evolution booster box worth it?
On average, one Mega Evolution pack holds about €2.59 of cards at today's prices, and a 36-pack booster box about €93.36. But this average is pulled up by a few very expensive cards: half the time, one booster box gives less than €74.17, and only 32% reach the average. The Special Illustration Rare rarity weighs the most in a pack's value. To resell, also count fees and time: the value shown is the market value, before fees.
How many packs for a Double Rare in Mega Evolution?
About 1 pack in 4.8, so ≈ 7.5 in a 36-pack booster box. For one specific card among the 10, count on 48 packs on average.
How many packs for a Illustration Rare in Mega Evolution?
About 1 pack in 9.2, so ≈ 3.9 in a 36-pack booster box. For one specific card among the 22, count on 202 packs on average.
How many packs for a Ultra Rare in Mega Evolution?
About 1 pack in 12, so ≈ 3 in a 36-pack booster box. For one specific card among the 22, count on 268 packs on average.
How many packs for a Special Illustration Rare in Mega Evolution?
About 1 pack in 101, so 30% chance in a 36-pack booster box. For one specific card among the 10, count on 1,010 packs on average.
What is the most valuable card in Mega Evolution?
Mega Lucario ex, around €169 at market price (Mega Hyper Rare, 1 pack in 2,520 on average to pull it).
Where do these pull rates come from?
The Pokémon Company does not publish official rates for this set. These are estimates counted by the community on large public openings, cited at the bottom of the page. They can vary from box to box and from print run to print run.
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